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Investigate a metric anomaly systematically

Artifact-first ordering reflects the base rates: most metric anomalies are measurement, not reality, and theorizing before ruling that out wastes days. The co-movement test is the cheapest hypothesis killer in analytics and almost nobody runs it systematically.

DataPlanSuggested model: google/gemini-3.5-flash

Last reviewed July 17, 2026

The prompt
Guide an investigation into this anomaly.

The anomaly: {{anomaly}}
Context (systems, recent changes, who noticed): {{context}}

Produce an ordered checklist:
1. Is it real? The measurement-artifact checks first: tracking change, pipeline delay, timezone or DST shift, schema change upstream, bot traffic, one giant account. Each with the exact query or check. Most anomalies die here; check before theorizing.
2. Shape diagnosis: step change, spike, drift, or periodicity break, and what each shape typically implicates (deploys and flags for steps, events and outages for spikes, slow mix-shift for drift).
3. Segmentation ladder: the cuts in order of information value (platform, geography, cohort, plan, entry point), and what a concentrated vs uniform result at each cut would mean.
4. Correlation sweep: which other metrics must have moved if each leading hypothesis is true. Absence of the co-movement kills the hypothesis cheaply.
5. The stop rule: what evidence closes the investigation as explained, and where to log the finding so the next person searching this anomaly finds the answer.

Rule: no cause may be declared while an artifact check remains unrun.
Run in idaptOpens a new chat with the prompt prefilled. Nothing sends until you press send.

Fill in the variables

VariableWhat it isExample
{{anomaly}}What moved, when, how muchsignups dropped 30 percent last Tuesday and stayed down
{{context}}Recent changes and systems involvedwe shipped a new landing page Monday; tracking via 2 tools

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